The Ground: The Geelong Cricket Ground presents an intriguing challenge with its 64-meter square boundaries and 70-meter straight boundaries. The drop-in pitch has historically produced scores averaging 145-155 runs in first innings, though the Renegades' record 212 suggests conditions have improved significantly under new ground staff.
63% of all 1st batting scores on this ground have been under 160 .
The Pitch: The pitch typically offers good pace and bounce early before slowing in the second innings, making the toss crucial. Fast bowlers have been more productive here, averaging 19.51 with an economy of 7.74, while spinners concede fewer runs (7.41 economy) but take wickets less frequently.
Bowling: Renegades bowling is further strengthened with the return of Zampa and along with Behrendorff, forms a very good bowling attack. Hurricanes also have a high quality pace attack with Meredith, Ellis and Stanlake and their spin bowling has been strengthened by the addition of Rishad Hossain.
Batting: Both teams have good batting depth although Renegades firepower is dependant on Brown and Seifert. Hurricanes bat deeper with Matthew Wade slated to come at number 6/7. Hurricanes batting looks more settled.
Teams: Overall, Hurricanes have a 11 to 8 win record against the Renegades and they would like to forget the 74 all out that they faced last season on this ground.
Toss Advantage: As per the ground stats, toss is important at this venue. Teams batting 2nd have advantage. In the last 9 matches, 6 have been won by the chasing team.
Match Prediction: Considering all factors, Hobart Hurricanes are slight favorites to win the match with a 59% win chance in a very close match due to their batting depth. Anything over 175 should be defended and scores below 145 should be chased. If Renegades bat first, score of 160-170 is expected and if Thunder bat first, 165-185 is expected. Overall, a medium scoring match is expected in the range of 165-185.
It is a match between Renegades all round performance vs Hurricanes powerful batting.